Lula’s Plan to Change Spending Cap Rules Will Swell Brazil’s Deficit: IIF
The article cites Fortun and Sergi Lanau's IIF research on the deficit implications of Lula's proposed spending package.
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The article cites Fortun and Sergi Lanau's IIF research on the deficit implications of Lula's proposed spending package.
View detailsFortun and Robin Brooks contribute to an IIF forecast for weak global growth in 2023, with the outlook particularly sensitive to the war in Ukraine.
View detailsFortun examines the investment-strategy shifts behind continued Chinese outflows despite a broader recovery in emerging-market inflows.
View detailsFortun comments on an improvement in emerging-market portfolio flows alongside a reassessment of exposure to China.
View detailsFortun discusses how recession concerns, inflation and uncertainty over policy responses weighed on September emerging-market capital flows.
View detailsFortun identifies the timing of peak inflation and China's economic outlook as key influences on portfolio flows, as emerging markets recover while Chinese debt continues to lose foreign investment.
View detailsFortun explains the dollar's influence on a prolonged run of emerging-market outflows and considers how steadier US interest rates could change the outlook.
View detailsFortun links an extended emerging-market outflow cycle to dollar strength and discusses how inflation and China's outlook could shape subsequent flows.
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