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主な各カテゴリーの最近の掲載分から、日本語の概要を追加しています。原典のタイトルは原語のまま掲載し、未翻訳の概要は英語で表示します。

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606 件

2025年4月3日IIF

Global Macro Views: The Dollar Paradox: How to Lose a Currency War While Winning It

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Efforts to weaken the dollar confront the enduring appeal of US assets. This analysis links persistent fiscal deficits, foreign investment and currency strength, arguing that tariffs can redirect trade without resolving the overall external imbalance. Currency intervention alone cannot address a problem rooted partly in fiscal policy and global demand for Treasuries.

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2025年4月2日IIF

Special Report: Liberation Day: A New Tariff Framework Arrived!

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

The April 2, 2025 tariff announcement marks a major change in US trade policy. This initial assessment examines a universal 10 percent tariff combined with additional country rates and a broad policy reach. Falling equity futures, rising gold and currency repricing illustrate how markets immediately responded to greater expected trade friction.

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2025年3月27日IIF

Global Macro Views: Full Metal Budget: Europe’s Military Spending Blitz

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Europe’s defense spending ambitions create different fiscal challenges across its largest economies. Germany expands military and infrastructure investment, while France and Italy face heavier debt constraints. Spain has more flexibility but competing social priorities. The March 2025 analysis examines how additional borrowing could raise financing costs and test fiscal stability.

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2025年3月13日IIF

Global Macro Views: Blue, White, and in the Red: America’s Fiscal Crossroads

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

America’s fiscal challenge extends beyond annual budget negotiations. Rising entitlement costs and interest payments put debt on an increasingly difficult path. The March 2025 analysis estimates that stabilizing the debt ratio requires tax increases or spending reductions exceeding 2.5 percent of GDP. Balancing the budget would demand a substantially larger adjustment.

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2025年3月13日IIF

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: March 2025

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

February’s $15.9 billion in emerging market portfolio inflows were supported by debt investment, while equities recorded net withdrawals overall. The March tracker nevertheless reports $11.2 billion entering Chinese equities. That contrast shows how positive demand for one market can coexist with a weaker aggregate picture for the asset class.

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2025年2月27日IIF

Global Macro Views: From Trade War to Tariff Trap: The U.S.-China Economic Clash

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Renewed US tariffs and Chinese retaliation threaten to turn a trade dispute into a broader economic constraint. This February 2025 assessment examines the additional 10 percent tariff on Chinese imports, Beijing’s response and the implications for inflation and Federal Reserve policy. The earlier trade conflict suggests that consumers and businesses absorb much of the cost.

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2025年2月20日IIF

Global Macro Views: Trade Wars Reloaded: EMs Caught in the Reciprocity Spiral

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Reciprocal tariffs expose emerging markets through differences in trade barriers and dependence on US demand. Mexico, Thailand and Malaysia stand out in the revised assessment, while other economies face distinct sector risks. First published on February 20, 2025 and updated on March 3 after a data revision, the analysis connects trade exposure with uncertainty over capital flows and exchange rates.

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2025年2月18日IIF

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: February 2025

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Debt investment drove January’s $35.4 billion in emerging market portfolio inflows. The February 2025 tracker records $45 billion entering debt securities alongside $9.6 billion leaving equities. Chinese equities nevertheless attracted $2 billion, highlighting a contrast between demand for that market and withdrawals from emerging market equities overall.

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