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主な各カテゴリーの最近の掲載分から、日本語の概要を追加しています。原典のタイトルは原語のまま掲載し、未翻訳の概要は英語で表示します。

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617 件

2021年1月12日IIF

Economic Views: EM Fiscal Deficits

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

The pandemic widened emerging market fiscal deficits largely through higher spending, making an economic recovery alone insufficient to restore earlier balances. A new dataset of historical spending surges shows that much of the increase often becomes permanent. The January 2021 analysis therefore frames deficit reduction as a spending adjustment challenge as well as a growth question.

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2021年1月5日IIF

Capital Flows Tracker: Back From the Brink (December 2020)

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

A strong December rebound brought emerging market portfolio inflows to $313 billion for 2020. Jonathan Fortun reports $45.9 billion entering during the final month, comprising $29.3 billion in equities and $16.6 billion in debt. Chinese equities accounted for $13.2 billion of December’s inflows into stocks.

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2020年12月21日IIF

Market Snapshot: Better Funding Conditions for EM and FM

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Access to international bond markets improved for emerging and frontier borrowers during 2020. Jonathan Fortun and coauthors find the recovery concentrated in sovereigns with investment grade ratings, while riskier issuers also regained access. Côte d’Ivoire’s return marked the first issuance from sub Saharan Africa since the pandemic began, with Ghana, Kenya and Nigeria expected to follow in 2021.

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2020年12月9日IIF

Macro Notes: Taking Stock of the 2020 EM Policy Response

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Emerging markets responded to the pandemic differently from earlier crises by easing monetary policy to support domestic activity. Jonathan Fortun and coauthors explain how additional liquidity helped governments borrow in local bond markets. Their December 2020 assessment nevertheless finds smaller fiscal support than in advanced economies and anticipates tightening across most emerging markets in 2021.

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2020年12月3日IIF

GMV: Devaluations and Export Volumes

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

A broader sample tests whether large currency depreciations support exports. Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun lower their real depreciation threshold to 20%, expanding the historical sample from nine to 24 episodes since 1980. Their December 2020 analysis finds median export volume growth doubling in the following years, challenging the view that dollar invoicing neutralizes the trade response.

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2020年11月19日IIF

GMV: Updating our Exchange Rate Fair Values

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Currency valuations varied sharply across emerging markets in November 2020 despite broad dollar overvaluation. Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun distinguish an undervalued renminbi and several Latin American commodity currencies from overvaluation in Argentina, Egypt and South Africa. China’s rising external surplus supported their contemporary assessment of its currency.

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2020年11月3日IIF

Economic Views: EM Government Bond Portfolios

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Changes in bond holdings reflect both transactions and movements in asset values. Jonathan Fortun and Sergi Lanau extend their emerging market government bond database to distinguish those effects in November 2020. Outflows and valuation losses reduced positions in many markets, while China attracted investment without comparable valuation losses and gained portfolio weight.

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2020年11月2日IIF

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Flows Supported by External Issuance

英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。

Emerging markets attracted $17.9 billion in portfolio investment in October 2020, with external issuance supporting inflows. Jonathan Fortun’s tracker reported $11.7 billion entering debt and $6.3 billion entering equities, including $4.7 billion into Chinese stocks. The headline total is retained as published rather than recomputed from rounded components.

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