Institute of International Finance February 21, 2019

Global Macro Views: Updating our EM FX Fair Values

· Robin Brooks · Tariq Khan

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About this work

Updated currency valuations incorporate the large exchange rate, current account and activity changes surrounding the 2018 emerging market selloff. In the February 2019 estimates, the Argentine peso and Turkish lira remained only mildly expensive, while India, Indonesia and South Africa showed greater overvaluation. Emerging Asia, including China, remained substantially undervalued under the framework.

Abstract

Updated currency valuations incorporate the large exchange rate, current account and activity changes surrounding the 2018 emerging market selloff. In the February 2019 estimates, the Argentine peso and Turkish lira remained only mildly expensive, while India, Indonesia and South Africa showed greater overvaluation. Emerging Asia, including China, remained substantially undervalued under the framework.

Cite this work

Jonathan Fortun, Robin Brooks, Tariq Khan (2019). Global Macro Views: Updating our EM FX Fair Values. Institute of International Finance.