Institute of International Finance October 10, 2019

Global Macro Views: No Recession Signal from the US Labor Market

· Robin Brooks

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About this work

Slower US job creation in October 2019 did not necessarily signal an approaching recession. Jonathan Fortun and Robin Brooks placed the deceleration within a longer trend of tightening labor conditions. Their interpretation was that a maturing labor market could generate fewer additional jobs without implying a deterioration in the broader economic cycle.

Abstract

Slower US job creation in October 2019 did not necessarily signal an approaching recession. Jonathan Fortun and Robin Brooks placed the deceleration within a longer trend of tightening labor conditions. Their interpretation was that a maturing labor market could generate fewer additional jobs without implying a deterioration in the broader economic cycle.

Cite this work

Jonathan Fortun, Robin Brooks (2019). Global Macro Views: No Recession Signal from the US Labor Market. Institute of International Finance.