Institute of International Finance July 14, 2020

Economic Views: EM External Adjustment under COVID-19

· Sergi Lanau

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About this work

Import compression was reshaping emerging markets’ external balances during the pandemic. Jonathan Fortun and Sergi Lanau compare trade trends in the first half of 2020 and find imports falling sharply enough to outweigh export losses in almost every country examined. Their July assessment anticipates the disappearance of current account deficits through this crisis adjustment.

Abstract

Import compression was reshaping emerging markets’ external balances during the pandemic. Jonathan Fortun and Sergi Lanau compare trade trends in the first half of 2020 and find imports falling sharply enough to outweigh export losses in almost every country examined. Their July assessment anticipates the disappearance of current account deficits through this crisis adjustment.

Cite this work

Jonathan Fortun, Sergi Lanau (2020). Economic Views: EM External Adjustment under COVID-19. Institute of International Finance.