Institute of International Finance May 20, 2021

Global Macro Views: Supply Disruptions, Inflation and the Fed

Robin Brooks · · Jonathan Pingle

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About this work

Supply bottlenecks had reached producer prices, but their transmission to consumer inflation was still unfolding in May 2021. Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun and Jonathan Pingle expected further increases in core CPI and PCE as delayed effects emerged. They argued at the time that the Federal Reserve should accommodate this inflation bump despite a larger and more persistent supply shock.

Abstract

Supply bottlenecks had reached producer prices, but their transmission to consumer inflation was still unfolding in May 2021. Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun and Jonathan Pingle expected further increases in core CPI and PCE as delayed effects emerged. They argued at the time that the Federal Reserve should accommodate this inflation bump despite a larger and more persistent supply shock.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun, Jonathan Pingle (2021). Global Macro Views: Supply Disruptions, Inflation and the Fed. Institute of International Finance.