Institute of International Finance March 10, 2022

Macro Focus: EM Vulnerability to Russia-Ukraine Conflict

· Benjamin Hilgenstock · Jonathan Pingle

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About this work

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Western sanctions changed emerging market vulnerabilities unevenly. The March 2022 assessment distinguishes large commodity exporters, positioned to benefit from rising prices, from commodity importers and regional trading partners of Russia and Ukraine, whose exposure increased. It updates the IIF vulnerability map around those contrasting channels.

Abstract

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Western sanctions changed emerging market vulnerabilities unevenly. The March 2022 assessment distinguishes large commodity exporters, positioned to benefit from rising prices, from commodity importers and regional trading partners of Russia and Ukraine, whose exposure increased. It updates the IIF vulnerability map around those contrasting channels.

Cite this work

Jonathan Fortun, Benjamin Hilgenstock, Jonathan Pingle (2022). Macro Focus: EM Vulnerability to Russia-Ukraine Conflict. Institute of International Finance.