About this work
The timing of a consumption recovery shaped China’s growth outlook in October 2022. Sergi Lanau, Jonathan Fortun and Gene Ma compare earlier and later rebounds after pandemic restrictions, alongside housing weakness and global recession risks. Their scenarios produced a 2023 growth range of 4.3% to 5.5%, with a central forecast of 4.6%.
Abstract
The timing of a consumption recovery shaped China’s growth outlook in October 2022. Sergi Lanau, Jonathan Fortun and Gene Ma compare earlier and later rebounds after pandemic restrictions, alongside housing weakness and global recession risks. Their scenarios produced a 2023 growth range of 4.3% to 5.5%, with a central forecast of 4.6%.
Cite this work
Sergi Lanau, Jonathan Fortun, Gene Ma (2022). Economic Views: China’s Consumption and Growth. Institute of International Finance.