Institute of International Finance February 14, 2023

Economic Views: Sri Lanka Recovery Value Scenarios

Sergi Lanau ·

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About this work

Chinese creditors’ restructuring terms could materially change recoveries on Sri Lanka’s external bonds. Sergi Lanau and Jonathan Fortun compare scenarios consistent with the country’s debt targets in February 2023. Limited payment moratoria imply lower bond recoveries than broader alignment with Paris Club treatment, illustrating how creditor coordination shapes the outcome for bondholders.

Abstract

Chinese creditors’ restructuring terms could materially change recoveries on Sri Lanka’s external bonds. Sergi Lanau and Jonathan Fortun compare scenarios consistent with the country’s debt targets in February 2023. Limited payment moratoria imply lower bond recoveries than broader alignment with Paris Club treatment, illustrating how creditor coordination shapes the outcome for bondholders.

Cite this work

Sergi Lanau, Jonathan Fortun (2023). Economic Views: Sri Lanka Recovery Value Scenarios. Institute of International Finance.