Institute of International Finance March 16, 2023

Global Macro Views: The US Inflation Data Fog

Robin Brooks · · Jonathan Pingle

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About this work

US inflation signals pointed in conflicting directions in March 2023. Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun and Jonathan Pingle find continued pressure in underlying services inflation alongside a retreat in the breadth of price increases. Their assessment rejects both a clear slowdown and an uncontrolled acceleration, supporting a cautious 25 basis point rate increase at the following Federal Reserve meeting.

Abstract

US inflation signals pointed in conflicting directions in March 2023. Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun and Jonathan Pingle find continued pressure in underlying services inflation alongside a retreat in the breadth of price increases. Their assessment rejects both a clear slowdown and an uncontrolled acceleration, supporting a cautious 25 basis point rate increase at the following Federal Reserve meeting.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun, Jonathan Pingle (2023). Global Macro Views: The US Inflation Data Fog. Institute of International Finance.