Institute of International Finance March 30, 2023

Global Macro Views: The End of Russia’s Energy Windfall

Robin Brooks · · Jonathan Pingle

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About this work

Russia’s exceptional external surplus was fading by early 2023 after an estimated $215 billion energy windfall since mid 2021. Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun and Jonathan Pingle attribute part of the reversal to the EU oil embargo and G7 price cap. Their March assessment also warns that an expanding tanker fleet outside the cap could weaken its reach.

Abstract

Russia’s exceptional external surplus was fading by early 2023 after an estimated $215 billion energy windfall since mid 2021. Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun and Jonathan Pingle attribute part of the reversal to the EU oil embargo and G7 price cap. Their March assessment also warns that an expanding tanker fleet outside the cap could weaken its reach.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun, Jonathan Pingle (2023). Global Macro Views: The End of Russia’s Energy Windfall. Institute of International Finance.