Institute of International Finance May 25, 2023

Global Macro Views: A Euro Zone Wage-Price Spiral?

Robin Brooks ·

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About this work

Could euro area inflation turn into a wage and price spiral? Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun compare broadly shared price increases with subdued negotiated wage growth across much of the periphery. Their May 2023 analysis interprets that divergence as evidence of remaining labor market slack and a stronger role for supply shocks, making an aggregate spiral unlikely.

Abstract

Could euro area inflation turn into a wage and price spiral? Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun compare broadly shared price increases with subdued negotiated wage growth across much of the periphery. Their May 2023 analysis interprets that divergence as evidence of remaining labor market slack and a stronger role for supply shocks, making an aggregate spiral unlikely.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun (2023). Global Macro Views: A Euro Zone Wage-Price Spiral?. Institute of International Finance.