Institute of International Finance June 14, 2023

Capital Flows Report: Global Soft Landing

Robin Brooks ·

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About this work

The Silicon Valley Bank failure increasingly looked like a delayed effect of monetary tightening rather than an additional credit shock in June 2023. Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun argue that lending standards had not tightened separately beyond the existing rate cycle. That interpretation supported their contemporary forecast of a global soft landing and solid emerging market capital flows as inflation eased.

Abstract

The Silicon Valley Bank failure increasingly looked like a delayed effect of monetary tightening rather than an additional credit shock in June 2023. Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun argue that lending standards had not tightened separately beyond the existing rate cycle. That interpretation supported their contemporary forecast of a global soft landing and solid emerging market capital flows as inflation eased.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun (2023). Capital Flows Report: Global Soft Landing. Institute of International Finance.