Institute of International Finance December 7, 2023

Global Macro Views: Supply Chain Normalization and Inflation

Robin Brooks ·

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About this work

Supply chain normalization explained most of the US disinflation observed in 2023, according to Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun. Their updated models suggested that this downward pressure on inflation still had further to run. Writing in December 2023, they expected its strongest US effect in early 2024 and a later peak in the euro area.

Abstract

Supply chain normalization explained most of the US disinflation observed in 2023, according to Robin Brooks and Jonathan Fortun. Their updated models suggested that this downward pressure on inflation still had further to run. Writing in December 2023, they expected its strongest US effect in early 2024 and a later peak in the euro area.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun (2023). Global Macro Views: Supply Chain Normalization and Inflation. Institute of International Finance.