Institute of International Finance December 21, 2023

Global Macro Views: What is Not Priced – European Double Dip Recession

Robin Brooks ·

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About this work

Weakness in the euro area extended beyond Germany at the end of 2023. Deteriorating French indicators strengthened the case that market expectations for 2024 growth were too optimistic. The analysis examines the risk of a renewed recession, drawing parallels with the uneven European recovery after the global financial crisis.

Abstract

Weakness in the euro area extended beyond Germany at the end of 2023. Deteriorating French indicators strengthened the case that market expectations for 2024 growth were too optimistic. The analysis examines the risk of a renewed recession, drawing parallels with the uneven European recovery after the global financial crisis.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun (2023). Global Macro Views: What is Not Priced – European Double Dip Recession. Institute of International Finance.