Institute of International Finance January 18, 2024

Global Macro Views: EM FX Overvaluations

Robin Brooks ·

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About this work

Real effective exchange rates can reveal conspicuous currency misalignments even before applying a full current account model. The January 2024 review uses this perspective to examine emerging market valuations and highlights Egypt, Pakistan and Ukraine as potential cases of overvaluation. It presents a diagnostic assessment rather than a prediction of when an adjustment would occur.

Abstract

Real effective exchange rates can reveal conspicuous currency misalignments even before applying a full current account model. The January 2024 review uses this perspective to examine emerging market valuations and highlights Egypt, Pakistan and Ukraine as potential cases of overvaluation. It presents a diagnostic assessment rather than a prediction of when an adjustment would occur.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Jonathan Fortun (2024). Global Macro Views: EM FX Overvaluations. Institute of International Finance.