About this work
Familiar relationships between US yields, the dollar and global assets are becoming less dependable. Emerging market currencies and sovereign spreads show signs of moving independently of long US rates, while gold reflects demand for protection against institutional and geopolitical uncertainty. Stronger local bond performance points toward investors placing greater value on resilience.
Cite this work
Marcello Estevão, Jonathan Fortun (2025). Global Macro Views: From Beta to Resilience: The Rise of a New Alpha in Global Markets. Institute of International Finance.