Institute of International Finance March 18, 2026

IIF Global Macro Views: Energy Shocks and EMs — A New Vulnerability Heatmap

Marcello Estevão ·

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About this work

Emerging markets face different energy shock risks depending on their import bills, sensitivity to food and fuel inflation, and reliance on foreign investors in domestic debt markets. A vulnerability heatmap brings these channels together while distinguishing structural exposure from market stress. Egypt ranks among the most vulnerable cases, and emerging Asia has the largest concentration of highly exposed economies.

Cite this work

Marcello Estevão, Jonathan Fortun (2026). IIF Global Macro Views: Energy Shocks and EMs — A New Vulnerability Heatmap. Institute of International Finance.