Country risk: why do Uruguay, Chile, Paraguay and Peru have the best ratings?
Fortun relates low sovereign risk premiums to policy frameworks and credit ratings beyond headline debt ratios.
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Fortun relates low sovereign risk premiums to policy frameworks and credit ratings beyond headline debt ratios.
View detailsShort-term dollar weakness need not signal a lasting loss of the currency's international role. The analysis finds gradual reserve diversification alongside continued dominance in trade invoicing, funding and payments, while local-currency borrowing still leaves economies exposed to US yields and hedging costs. Treasury market liquidity and collateral functions remain central. Changes in payment infrastructure alone do not establish displacement; that would require broader evidence across reserves, currency trading and invoicing.
Read the workA changing investor base is adding pressure to Japan's longest bonds as the Bank of Japan reduces its purchases. Weaker demand from life insurers and greater foreign participation make yields more sensitive to global bond-market conditions, even after reductions in super-long issuance. Stabilizing long-term borrowing costs may therefore require domestic demand, changes in issuance maturities or direct bond-market measures alongside decisions about the policy rate.
Read the workFortun's data examines how higher US Treasury yields transmit differently across Latin American markets.
View detailsFortun explains how rising US Treasury yields reach Latin American local bond markets and why investor bases, duration and carry matter for the transmission.
View detailsThe article cites Fortun's warning that Bolivia must sustain fiscal discipline and reforms after IMF disbursements begin.
View detailsFortun assesses how equity outflows from emerging Asia eased while emerging-market debt continued attracting capital in 2026.
View detailsBloomberg Línea reports that Bolivia, Brazil and Suriname rank among the 30 most indebted economies in the world, based on IMF data compiled by the IIF. Jonathan Fortun said the region stopped behaving as a bloc, since what worsened is the dispersion between countries, not average debt. He argued Bolivia faces a payments problem rather than a debt problem, and flagged Ecuador as looking comfortable at 52.8% of GDP when it is not.
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