Perspectives connected to the research.
8 results
Fortun describes March's capital flight as concentrated in Asian equities rather than a general emerging-market funding freeze, and explains how a prolonged Iran war could worsen the outflows.
View detailsFortun describes March portfolio outflows as concentrated in Asian equities after the outbreak of war in Iran. He distinguishes this selling from a generalized funding stop and explains how a prolonged conflict could make flows harder to stabilize.
View detailsJonathan Fortun discusses geopolitical risks and the possibility that oil prices could reach $100 a barrel in 2024.
View detailsFortun and Robin Brooks contribute to an IIF forecast for weak global growth in 2023, with the outlook particularly sensitive to the war in Ukraine.
View detailsFortun describes the recession, inflation and monetary-policy concerns accompanying a third consecutive month of emerging-market portfolio outflows.
View detailsFortun attributes pressure on emerging-market portfolio flows to fears of recession, inflation, tighter monetary conditions and geopolitical risk. Reuters separates renewed Chinese inflows from withdrawals elsewhere in the third consecutive month of net selling.
View detailsFortun links a third month of emerging-market outflows to mounting recession risks, monetary tightening, inflation and geopolitical uncertainty.
View detailsAn IIF analysis coauthored by Fortun identifies unusual capital outflows from China after Russia's invasion of Ukraine while cautioning that it is too early to call the shift structural.
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