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August 5, 2026
Fortun contrasts Bolivia's historical currency redenomination with its current exchange-rate adjustment, using an equilibrium-rate framework to argue that nominal change can precede deeper economic repair.
View details ↗August 1, 2026
Fortun contrasts Bolivia's exchange-rate announcements and IMF staff agreement with limited usable reserves, arguing that simultaneous policy headlines do not by themselves resolve the external constraint.
View details ↗July 9, 2026
Fortun assesses Bolivia's new market-referenced official exchange rate and bank selling limits, asking whether the framework can clear the currency market or preserve rationing and parallel pricing.
View details ↗June 20, 2026
Fortun estimates the economic costs of prolonged Bolivian blockades and explains how lost output, disrupted logistics and higher household prices narrow the space for stabilization.
View details ↗June 7, 2026
Fortun challenges outside interpretations of Bolivia centered on commodities and protest, arguing that inherited political institutions and contested state authority shape the reform crisis.
View details ↗May 19, 2026
Fortun examines Bolivia's bond-market return before an IMF agreement, arguing that fuel costs, inflation, blockades and entrenched political networks complicate the sequence of stabilization.
View details ↗January 7, 2026
Fortun distinguishes renewed investor appetite from durable stabilization, examining domestic debt, scarce liquid reserves and the risks of borrowing abroad before restoring fiscal credibility.
View details ↗December 22, 2025
Fortun argues that Bolivia's fuel-subsidy reform needs a broader fiscal anchor and that implementing it during December's seasonal demand peak intensifies inflation and uncertainty.
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