Institute of International Finance 6 de agosto de 2020

GMV: Is the Dollar Entering a Secular Decline?

· Robin Brooks

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Sobre este trabajo

El dólar mostraba comportamientos distintos frente a monedas avanzadas y emergentes en agosto de 2020. Jonathan Fortun y Robin Brooks contrastan su relativa estabilidad frente al G10 con su apreciación ante emergentes expuestos a materias primas más baratas. La ausencia de un estímulo chino comparable al de 2009 sustentaba su visión de que una caída sostenida del dólar era improbable a corto plazo.

Resumen

Dollar performance against advanced and emerging currencies told different stories in August 2020. Jonathan Fortun and Robin Brooks contrast relative stability against the G10 with appreciation against emerging markets exposed to weaker commodity prices. The absence of a Chinese stimulus comparable to 2009 underpinned their view that a sustained dollar decline was unlikely in the near term.

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Jonathan Fortun, Robin Brooks (2020). GMV: Is the Dollar Entering a Secular Decline?. Institute of International Finance.