Institute of International Finance September 21, 2023

Global Macro Views: Mixed Messages from China on the RMB

Robin Brooks · Gene Ma ·

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About this work

China’s exchange rate signals in September 2023 appeared at odds with its interest in avoiding another destabilizing devaluation. Robin Brooks, Gene Ma and Jonathan Fortun argue that allowing the renminbi to trade near the weak edge of its band encouraged expectations of a currency adjustment. They interpret much of China’s weakness as a reversal of pandemic spending patterns, rather than a reason to repeat the capital flight associated with 2015.

Abstract

China’s exchange rate signals in September 2023 appeared at odds with its interest in avoiding another destabilizing devaluation. Robin Brooks, Gene Ma and Jonathan Fortun argue that allowing the renminbi to trade near the weak edge of its band encouraged expectations of a currency adjustment. They interpret much of China’s weakness as a reversal of pandemic spending patterns, rather than a reason to repeat the capital flight associated with 2015.

Cite this work

Robin Brooks, Gene Ma, Jonathan Fortun (2023). Global Macro Views: Mixed Messages from China on the RMB. Institute of International Finance.