Cómo el dólar paralelo se convirtió en un “termómetro de desconfianza” en Bolivia
Fortun connects Bolivia's parallel dollar rate with foreign-currency scarcity and declining confidence in macroeconomic policy.
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Fortun connects Bolivia's parallel dollar rate with foreign-currency scarcity and declining confidence in macroeconomic policy.
View detailsFortun assesses how sustained high Treasury yields could widen spreads and raise Latin America's external financing costs.
View detailsRising Japanese government bond yields in May 2025 reflect monetary normalization, inflation expectations and term premiums in this assessment. A stronger yen, contained credit risk measures and solid auctions support that reading. Private investors absorb supply as the central bank steps back, suggesting an adjustment in market pricing rather than a loss of fiscal confidence.
Read the workFortun explains how a US remittance tax could reduce household income and consumption in recipient economies.
View detailsFortun examines how depleted reserves undermine Bolivia's exchange-rate anchor and complicate trade financing.
View detailsExchange rates increasingly transmit economic and political shocks across borders. A softer dollar offers emerging markets some relief, yet credit spreads and term premiums can outweigh that benefit in financing conditions. Policy uncertainty and shifting investor positions amplify currency movements, while dollar liquidity remains central during stress despite gradual reserve diversification.
Read the workFortun explains why a softer dollar has not automatically improved long-term borrowing costs or global liquidity.
View detailsApril’s near balance in emerging market portfolio flows conceals a sharp divide between asset classes. The May tracker reports $0.2 billion in net outflows, as $9.7 billion entering debt nearly offset $9.9 billion leaving equities. China supplied all net debt inflows, while debt markets elsewhere in the emerging world recorded withdrawals.
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