研究から広がる視点と考察。
主な各カテゴリーの最近の掲載分から、日本語の概要を追加しています。原典のタイトルは原語のまま掲載し、未翻訳の概要は英語で表示します。
922 件
英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。
Foreign investment in emerging-market portfolios fell sharply in 2022. The article cites Fortun's IIF report on interest rates, the dollar and uneven regional flows.
詳細を見る英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。
The article cites Fortun's IIF report on the sharp decline in 2022 emerging-market investment and remaining risks despite hopes of a Fed policy shift.
詳細を見る英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。
An assessment of forecasting mistakes in 2022 acknowledges the failure to warn ahead of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The authors also revisit an overly pessimistic European recession forecast and the unexpectedly broad frontier market selloff. The retrospective treats these misses as lessons for economic analysis and risk assessment rather than presenting only successful calls.
論文を読む英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。
Narrowing inflation across US consumer price components had signaled disinflation before the turn in core inflation, according to this December 2022 analysis by Jonathan Pingle, Jonathan Fortun and Robin Brooks. They identified early signs of a similar pattern in the euro area as their monthly inflation breadth index fell and price increases slowed in components sensitive to energy costs. The authors anticipated a turn in euro area inflation and argued for a less restrictive ECB stance.
論文を読む英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。
Congressional reductions to Lula’s proposed spending package did not resolve Brazil’s fiscal uncertainty heading into 2023. The December 2022 assessment saw limited scope for a large near term decline in risk premia and called for substantial adjustment to stabilize debt. It contrasted reversing tax cuts and retaining the spending cap with a major relaxation of fiscal rules that it considered unsustainable.
論文を読む英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。
Portfolio investment into emerging markets reached $37.4 billion in November 2022, led by $23.0 billion in equity inflows compared with $14.4 billion in debt. Chinese equities attracted $8.5 billion. The December release separates these asset allocations to show where the month’s capital entered emerging markets.
論文を読む英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。
Reuters reports a rebound in emerging market portfolio inflows in November 2022, even as investors continued withdrawing from Chinese debt. Jonathan Fortun links the weakness in foreign investment into China to greater concern about geopolitical risk. The contrast shows why a broad recovery in flows need not imply renewed confidence across every market.
詳細を見る英語の概要です。日本語版は順次追加しています。
Fortun discusses how interest costs and social spending affect Mexico's fiscal outlook in a regional IIF assessment.
詳細を見る