Conflito no Oriente Médio eleva risco de inflação energética na América Latina
Fortun identifies energy-importing economies and oil-dependent power or logistics sectors as vulnerable to higher energy costs.
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Fortun identifies energy-importing economies and oil-dependent power or logistics sectors as vulnerable to higher energy costs.
View detailsFortun explains how strategic technology bottlenecks and capital-intensive AI demand support large corporate valuations.
View detailsFortun identifies net fuel importers and economies whose electricity or logistics rely heavily on hydrocarbons as vulnerable to higher energy costs.
View detailsPrivate markets face tighter and less predictable financing conditions. Activity continues despite weak exits and slow changes in valuations, while venture capital and private credit become more concentrated and sensitive to costs and rates. Internal liquidity management delays market adjustment as additional financial claims accumulate on the same assets.
Read the workFortun distinguishes Mexico's recent debt outflows from earlier stress episodes and explains how external shocks interact with weaker domestic growth.
View detailsFortun warns that persistent energy shocks and their broader transmission leave Latin America's inflation relief fragile.
View detailsThe duration of wartime disruption matters more than the initial oil-price jump, the authors argue. Their baseline is a fragile easing of pressure, with continued premiums on oil, liquefied natural gas and refined fuels. US resilience rests increasingly on consumption, asset prices and AI investment. Outcomes elsewhere depend on differing energy exposure, policy credibility and access to financing.
Read the workFortun argues that Bolivia's recorded contraction reflects a longer deterioration with further adjustment ahead.
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