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April 21, 2026

Boursorama (Reuters, French translation) Quoted expert Original title: ROI-Le yuan chinois est sous-évalué, mais peut-être pas autant que vous le pensez : McGeever

ROI-Le yuan chinois est sous-évalué, mais peut-être pas autant que vous le pensez : McGeever

Fortun argues that China's financial-account dynamics make a very large, persistent yuan undervaluation harder to reconcile with the evidence, while allowing for a more moderate misalignment.

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April 16, 2026IIF

IIF Global Macro Views: The Iran Shock — From Prices to Constraints

Disruption linked to Iran is spreading beyond crude prices into refined products, industrial inputs and logistics. The ceasefire shifts the near-term baseline toward gradual normalization, but emerging Asia remains especially exposed. A failed truce or slow reopening could amplify losses through production networks. Even a lasting ceasefire would leave an inflation shock and difficult policy choices rather than immediately restore pre-shock conditions.

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April 16, 2026

El Economista Quoted expert Original title: Durante marzo se liquidaron 2,399 millones de dólares en títulos de deuda mexicana: IIF

Durante marzo se liquidaron 2,399 millones de dólares en títulos de deuda mexicana: IIF

Fortun explains how the March energy-price shock and tighter global financial conditions complicated Mexico's disinflation and debt-market flows.

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April 13, 2026

Bloomberg Línea Quoted expert Original title: ¿Por qué Bolivia se mantendrá en recesión en 2026 pese a las reformas del Gobierno?

¿Por qué Bolivia se mantendrá en recesión en 2026 pese a las reformas del Gobierno?

Fortun argues that recent reforms offer limited relief while financing constraints, weak investment and foreign-currency shortages continue to restrain growth.

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April 12, 2026

Bloomberg (via Bloomberg Línea) Quoted expert Original title: Mercados da América Latina ganham status de ‘porto seguro’ com cenário global volátil

Mercados da América Latina ganham status de ‘porto seguro’ com cenário global volátil

Fortun assesses how commodity support and carry returns cushioned Latin American investment flows during global risk aversion.

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April 12, 2026

Bloomberg (via Bloomberg Línea) Quoted expert Original title: América Latina atrae a inversores que buscan capear los temores de guerra

América Latina atrae a inversores que buscan capear los temores de guerra

Fortun assesses how commodity support and carry returns cushioned Latin American investment flows during global risk aversion.

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April 9, 2026IIF

IIF Views on Europe: Russia's Oil Dividend From The Iran Shock

Russia benefits from higher prices for oil supplied outside the Strait of Hormuz, with narrower discounts lifting export earnings despite broadly stable seaborne volumes. The fiscal windfall is constrained by Ukrainian attacks on infrastructure and domestic frictions. If wider escalation depresses global demand, the gains could prove short-lived.

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April 9, 2026IIF

IIF Global Macro Views: Oil After the Shock — Scenarios for a Higher Regime

How long the conflict persists separates three oil-price scenarios for 2026, with average Brent prices around $85, $102 or $135. The analysis explains how declining inventory buffers can shift adjustment toward prices, with particular pressure in Asian physical markets. Longer disruption raises the risk of disproportionately large price increases, adding to inflation and complicating monetary policy through tighter financial conditions.

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