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August 30, 2025

Bloomberg Línea Quoted expert Original title: Las razones detrás de la tregua del dólar paralelo en Bolivia: ¿será un espejismo?

Las razones detrás de la tregua del dólar paralelo en Bolivia: ¿será un espejismo?

Fortun attributes a temporary easing of Bolivia's parallel dollar rate to a calmer political climate, while distinguishing that respite from a structural recovery.

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August 29, 2025

They Don’t Die. They Borrow: Bolivia’s Undead (The Zombie Saga Pt. 2)

Fortun connects the political transition with opaque gold-backed financing and growing pension-fund exposure to public debt, arguing that these arrangements restrict future policy choices.

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August 28, 2025IIF

Global Macro Views: U.S. Jobs at a Stall Speed and the Fed’s Dilemma

Private US hiring had slowed sharply by August 2025, with employment gains increasingly confined to healthcare and education. Immigration restrictions reduced labor supply, helping keep unemployment low even as job creation weakened. Inflation also eroded real income growth. Together, these forces left the Federal Reserve balancing a softer labor market against price pressure from tariffs.

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August 22, 2025

Bloomberg Línea Quoted expert Original title: ¿Riesgo de dolarización? Presiones sobre el boliviano desafiarán al nuevo presidente

¿Riesgo de dolarización? Presiones sobre el boliviano desafiarán al nuevo presidente

Fortun discusses de facto dollarization pressures as payment constraints and foreign-currency shortages weaken Bolivia's economy, stressing the need for a credible stabilization framework.

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August 22, 2025

Bloomberg Línea Quoted expert Original title: Risco de dolarização? Pressão sobre moeda boliviana é desafio para próximo presidente

Risco de dolarização? Pressão sobre moeda boliviana é desafio para próximo presidente

Fortun assesses Bolivia's exchange-rate pressure and the constraints facing the next president.

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August 21, 2025IIF

Global Macro Views: U.S. Supply Shocks Collide with a Cooling Labor Market

Tariff costs begin reaching import and producer prices as inventory cushions run down, while immigration restrictions complicate the reading of US employment data. Manufacturing and private construction weaken even as overall demand appears resilient. This August 2025 assessment asks whether renewed inflation could arrive before growth slows enough to give the Federal Reserve room to ease.

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August 18, 2025

Zombies at the Polls: Bolivia’s Political Undead Refuse to Die

Fortun interprets Bolivia's election as a reshuffling of established political forces and compares the fiscal, financing and institutional obstacles awaiting the next government.

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August 13, 2025

InfoMoney Mention Original title: Mercados emergentes registram segundo maior fluxo mensal de entrada em quatro anos

Mercados emergentes registram segundo maior fluxo mensal de entrada em quatro anos

InfoMoney, citing Reuters, reports that international investors put US$55.5 billion into emerging market stocks and bonds in July, per IIF data. Jonathan Fortun, senior economist at the IIF, said flows into high yielding currencies have been persistent, especially in Brazil, Mexico and South Africa, where high real rates and steadier exchange rates delivered strong total returns. He added that a weaker dollar also boosted the carry trade.

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